On May 4, 2006, the Reaper told everybody that Conde Nast's new business magazine would be "one of the richer passengers to cross over a few years from now."
The magazine, which did not have a title at that time, was a prime candidate for death, another Cargo magazine where Conde Nast spent millions of dollars for an imaginary audience.
Right on time, Conde Nast decided it had burned through enough money and foolishness, shutting down Portfolio today.
The Reaper looks back at its prediction from May 4 and is impressed with how much came true, as if I wrote the script myself.
Two years go by. Conde Nast is protecting its very expensive investment. They will try provocative covers for a business magazine... the Reaper will start posting Odds of Survival... reports are leaking out that the sell-through is 20% or under... some of the reporters and editors are returning to Fortune, BusinessWeek, and Forbes.
Portfolio will be the model of Conde Nast at its arrogant worst, but will it change their ways? Nobody wanted Portfolio. Nobody needed Portfolio. Conde Nast wanted another title to sell to advertisers, but even they abandoned ship after a few issues.
Of course, as the plug was pulled, the editor in chief touted their National Magazine Award, but they may as well use that "Ellie" as a paddle going down the River Styx today.
The other business magazines may breathe a slight sigh of relief, although it's hard to think of Portfolio as competition. However, they are still in deep trouble, and have to convince advertisers the category is viable.
I'm taking Portfolio to that special place where Barack Obama can't tax upper income citizens. The Reaper will be creating a large bonfire of all the dollar bills that went up in smoke creating Portfolio and roasting hot dogs over a pile of unused schedule cards and subscription blow in's.
If history is any indication, it's going to be a wild ride for those who got out while they had the chance, too. Sure, they got out early, but usually they come back to fill a niche left empty by someone else who decided to bail. We're going to be seeing a lot of business magazine veterans who are going to be in denial over exactly how badly they're wanted by the market at large, particularly through all of the Advance Publications Business Journal papers, and they aren't going to understand why someone isn't just waiting to snap them up as editors and columnists for yet another flashy ego project.
Posted by: Paul Riddell | April 27, 2009 at 03:04 PM
That this magazine went down as it did and yet still earned national magazine awards along the way reinforces the dubious quality of most publication awards, period. Rarely do these things really speak to the viability or the need or even the excellence of the publications they lionize. They seem more to be a method for publishing executives to find ways of congratulating themselves while burnishing their resumes. Awards don't necessarily translate into higher subscription numbers, better ad revenue or even higher reader satisfaction. They are, more than anything, a waste of time and money. Let sucess in the market be the true mark of success for any publication.
Posted by: Bill Coffin | April 27, 2009 at 08:17 PM
The disconnect between revenue and editorial expense at big publishing companies never ceases to amaze me. They still don't have any clue that you can create great magazines without having 50 editors on board. In fact, I would argue that having fewer editors gives a magazine more personality and helps keep it focused.
Companies like Conde Nast are totally unsuited to cope with today's economic realities, and totally unable to adjust their operations to fit the economics of the Internet. Pretty soon, it's gonna be "The Devil Wears Old Navy."
Posted by: Congo | April 27, 2009 at 10:17 PM
I actually liked Portfolio. It was an interesting read.
But you were right all along. It is a shame 85 people have lost their jobs though.
Posted by: aulelia | April 27, 2009 at 11:55 PM
When I heard about the folding of this fine journal on the radio this morning, I laughed and thought of you, dear Reaper.
Posted by: Brigitte | April 28, 2009 at 12:01 PM
@Bill, "Let success in the market be the true mark of success for any publication", sure, but what does that have to do with awards that are based on editorial content? By that logic, the highest grossing motion picture of the year should win the Academy Award for best picture. Your argument just doesn't make any sense. If you work in the industry you know that great content or numerous awards don't necessarily equal more subscribers or ad pages. The New York Times wins awards year after year;I hope you wouldn't argue that just because it is heading ever closer to bankruptcy that it isn't a publication worthy of such awards.
Posted by: Tyler Adams | April 28, 2009 at 03:51 PM
Congo, but every big magazine needs 50 editors. How else is the executive editor able to hire all of his college buddies, thereby goosing their resumes with something approximating gainful work? Without all of those editors who owe him favors when they move on "to pursue other opportunities," how will the executive editor find work when he's the one facing employment based on actual skills instead of connections? (Yeah, I'm bitter. Watching legions of pocket psychotics fall upward after getting fired for sexual harrassment, embezzlement, and complete incompetence gets old after a while. If the magazine industry ever instituted a lemon law to protect previously successful magazines from being driven into the ground by one of these onanists, I suspect that we all know at least two who'd be recalled and thrown feetfirst into a tree mulcher to prevent their diseased genes from infecting future generations.)
Posted by: Paul Riddell | April 28, 2009 at 05:34 PM
Brigitte,
Obviously, the NYT's financial problems don't disqualify its editorial excellence. But I do think that there is this awards mania within the magazine publishing industry that seems to serve the staff members' resumes more than the viability of the book. It's great for a title to have plenty of awards that prove its editorial excellence, but if the book cannot survive, if its own readers abandon that very same excellent work, then...so what?
Look, marketplace survival does not equate editorial excellence. But I do think magazines in general need a reality check on what these awards really stand for in the long run. I have seen books scoop up FOLIO awards while they were in fact bleeding cash. They may be books that are well done, but in the end, they still aren't needed by the people they are meant for.
That's why I took such umbrage at Portfolio touting its awards even as it was closing down. I say this as both an editorial director and as a publisher. Awards mean nothing if the book they exalt relegates itself to the scrapheap of relevancy.
Posted by: Bill Coffin | May 05, 2009 at 12:04 PM
Agreed, Bill. These awards are for editorial excellence - as judged by editors. I don't care what editors think of each other's work. What really matters is what the audience thinks.
Magazines and websites are best when they love their audience and do anything and everything they can do to make that audience love the editorial product. That doesn't happen much in NYC these days. And that's why so much of the writing in magazines sounds the same - most of these editors are just trying to impress each other, not working for their audience. The result has been that the "magazine guy" writing style has spread like kudzu and choked out everything else. Enough!
Posted by: Congo | May 06, 2009 at 11:09 AM
Bill and Congo, when you get the chance, look up the sad story of the Katy Awards in Dallas. There you see the logical end-result of awards mania: awards given to reporters in an incredibly journalistically insecure city, where one person in charge could award multiple awards to herself without anybody calling her on it, and the one person who broke the story did so only because he didn't get one. (I used to work for an editor who was obsessed with winning a Katy, and never mind that his output pretty much consisted of "What We Like To Drink" filler.) The scary part is that even after everyone in the Dallas journalism community realized that the Katys had been rigged for years, the current effort is to "rehabilitate" them so that it doesn't embarrass the people who won.
Posted by: Paul Riddell | May 07, 2009 at 05:55 PM